bbc.com 3 days ago URGENCY: 7/10
El Niño Unleashed: Prepare for Weather Extremes
El Niño has officially begun, signaling potential weather extremes ahead. Scientists warn this could lead to record temperatures and significant global impacts.
Understanding El Niño's Impact
El Niño, the natural Pacific weather phenomenon, has been confirmed by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to be underway. This event is characterized by rising sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, which could lead to unprecedented global temperature increases, particularly in 2027.
Forecasters are predicting a potential 'super' El Niño, with sea temperatures possibly exceeding 3°C above average by year-end. This could disrupt weather patterns, food supplies, and economies worldwide. Key points to consider include:
- A 63% chance of a very strong El Niño from November to January.
- Historical events of 1982/83, 1997/98, and 2015/16 serve as benchmarks for intensity.
- The current warming phase is compounded by decades of human-induced climate change.