theguardian.com 5 hours ago URGENCY: 6/10

Global Markets Surge Amid Iran Deal Hopes

Global stock markets are rallying as optimism grows for a potential Iran peace deal. Investors are eager to see how this could reshape oil prices and corporate profits.

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Global Markets Surge Amid Iran Deal Hopes

Market Reactions to Iran Negotiations

Global stock markets are experiencing a significant rally, fueled by hopes of a resolution to the ongoing Iran conflict. Following positive remarks from US President Donald Trump about the possibility of a deal, Asian markets have surged, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index jumping 5.7% and South Korea's KOSPI up 1.4%. This optimism has also been reflected in European and US markets, where the S&P 500 recently hit a record high.

Despite the positive market sentiment, analysts caution that geopolitical tensions remain unresolved. Stephen Innes from SPI Asset Management noted that the market is reacting like a casino, with traders eagerly embracing the idea of negotiations over military action. As the situation develops, investors are closely monitoring oil prices, which have seen a significant drop of nearly 8% recently.

Shell's Profits and Dividends

In related news, Shell has announced an increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.3906 per share, alongside a $3 billion share buyback program. This comes after a profitable quarter where the company returned $5.3 billion to shareholders. However, concerns linger about the sustainability of these profits in the face of declining fossil fuel demand, as highlighted by Mark van Baal, CEO of the Follow This campaign.